The 2022 Florida gubernatorial election will take place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Florida, alongside an election to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and other state and local elections. Incumbent Republican governor Ron DeSantis is seeking re-election to a second term and will face off against the Democratic nominee, former U.S. Representative and former governor Charlie Crist in the general election. Crist, who previously served as governor from 2007 to 2011 as a Republican, is seeking to become the first Democrat elected governor of Florida since 1994 for the second time, after an unsuccessful run in 2014.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Failed to qualify

Declined

Endorsements

Ron DeSantis
U.S. Senators
Organizations

Results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Ron DeSantis (incumbent)
Total votes100.00

Democratic primary

Florida Agriculture Commissioner Nikki Fried finished second in the primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Failed to qualify

  • Robert Conner[19]
  • Ivan Graham, dentist[20]
  • Jonathan Karns, businessman[21]
  • Alex Lundmark, real estate agent and candidate for governor in 2018[22]
  • Christine Powers
  • Randy Zapata, legal advocate[23]
  • Carlos Enrique Gutierrez, property manager and candidate for mayor of Miami Beach in 2021[24]

Did not file

  • Amaro Lionheart, filmmaker[25]

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

Charlie Crist
U.S. Representatives
Statewide officials
State legislators
Local officials
Organizations
Labor unions
Newspapers
Notable individuals
Nikki Fried
State legislators
Notable individuals
Organizations
Annette Taddeo (withdrawn)
U.S. Representatives
State legislators
Local officials
Organizations
Individuals

Polling

Graphical summary
Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Charlie
Crist
Nikki
Fried
Other
[a]
Margin
Real Clear PoliticsFebruary 7 – June 17, 2022June 20, 202240.0%23.3%36.7%Crist +16.7
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Charlie
Crist
Nikki
Fried
Annette
Taddeo
OtherUndecided
St. Pete PollsAugust 20–21, 20221,617 (LV)± 2.4%59%30%11%
Change Research (D)[A]August 12–14, 2022702 (LV)± 4.2%47%37%16%
University of North FloridaAugust 8–12, 2022529 (LV)± 6.0%43%47%5%[c]6%
Public Policy Polling (D)[B]August 8–9, 2022664 (LV)± 3.8%42%35%23%
St. Pete PollsAugust 2–3, 20221,361 (LV)± 2.7%56%24%20%
GBAO (D)[A]July 27–31, 2022800 (LV)± 3.5%52%36%12%
Kaplan StrategiesJuly 6, 2022671 (LV)± 3.8%39%39%22%
GBAO (D)[A]June 23–26, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%55%34%11%
St. Pete PollsJune 16–17, 20221,007 (LV)± 3.1%49%24%27%
Global Strategy Group (D)[B]June 8–13, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%38%34%29%
June 6, 2022Taddeo withdraws from the race
St. Pete PollsMay 2–3, 20221,859 (LV)± 2.3%52%19%5%24%
Sachs Media GroupApril 8–10, 2022700 (RV)± 3.7%35%20%4%41%
University of North FloridaFebruary 7–20, 2022271 (RV)± 6.0%27%19%4%8%[d]44%
Mason-DixonFebruary 7–10, 2022400 (LV)± 5.0%44%27%3%26%
Alvarado Strategies (R)[C]February 20221,007 (LV)± 3.1%36%25%6%10%23%
GBAO (D)[A]January 26–31, 2022800 (LV)± 3.5%54%28%7%11%
56%33%11%
Public Policy Polling (D)[B]January 26–27, 2022582 (LV)± 4.1%36%34%29%
Public Policy Polling (D)[B]August 10–11, 2021274 (LV)± 5.9%33%36%31%
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)August 4–10, 2021245 (RV)± 6.3%38%27%5%30%
Political Matrix (R)June 9–11, 2021660 (LV)± 4.5%41%31%29%
St. Pete PollsMay 24–26, 20212,752 (RV)± 1.9%55%22%11%12%
Victory Insights (R)May 4, 2021232 (RV)± 7.0%53%30%17%[e]
SEA Polling (D)[D]April 15–20, 2021600 (LV)± 4.0%28%26%13%34%

Results

Results by county:

  Crist
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  Fried
  •   40–50%
Democratic primary results[109]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Charlie Crist 904,524 59.7
DemocraticNicole “Nikki” Fried535,48035.4
DemocraticCadance Daniel38,1982.5
DemocraticRobert L. Willis36,7862.4
Total votes1,513,180 100.00

Running mate selection

In June 2022, Politico released a shortlist of 18 people who Crist was considering as his running mate.[110] On August 26, four days after Crist won the gubernatorial primary, CBS News reported that he had selected Karla Hernández-Mats, one of the people on the Politico shortlist.[111]

Selected

  • Karla Hernández-Mats, president of the United Teachers of Dade[110][112]

On shortlist

Independent and third-party candidates

Green Party

Withdrawn

Independent Party

Withdrawn

  • Gizmo Wexler, IT administrator[115]

Libertarian Party

Declared

Declined

Independent candidates

Declared

  • Carmen Jackie Gimenez[119]

Did not qualify

  • Eugene H. Steele, attorney[120]

Withdrawn

  • Mark B. Graham, computer technician and candidate for president in 2016[121]
  • Frank Hughes Jr., education consultant[122]
  • Jodi Gregory Jeloudov[123]

Declined

Write-ins

Declared

  • Piotr Blass, perennial candidate[126]
  • James Thompson, pastor

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[127]Likely RJuly 22, 2022
Inside Elections[128]Likely RJuly 22, 2022
Sabato’s Crystal Ball[129]Likely RAugust 18, 2022
Politico[130]Likely RApril 1, 2022
RCP[131]Lean RJanuary 10, 2022
Fox News[132]Likely RMay 12, 2022
538[133]Likely RAugust 26, 2022

Endorsements

Ron DeSantis (R)
U.S. Senators
Local officials
  • Dave Kerner, member of the Palm Beach County Commission from the 3rd District (2016–present); former state representative from the 87th district (2012–2016)[135] (Democrat)
Organizations
Charlie Crist (D)
U.S. Representatives
Statewide officials
State legislators
Local officials
Organizations
Labor unions
Newspapers
Notable individuals

Polling

Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Ron
DeSantis (R)
Charlie
Crist (D)
Other
[f]
Margin
Real Clear PoliticsAugust 24 – September 18, 2022September 26, 202248.8%44.0%7.2%DeSantis +4.8
FiveThirtyEightFebruary 24, 2021 – September 23, 2022September 26, 202249.8%44.2%6.0%DeSantis +5.6
Average49.3%44.1%6.6%DeSantis +5.2
Graphical summary
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Ron
DeSantis (R)
Charlie
Crist (D)
OtherUndecided
CiviqsSeptember 17–20, 2022617 (LV)± 4.5%52%45%
Suffolk UniversitySeptember 15–18, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%48%41%5%[g]7%
Sachs MediaSeptember 10, 2022600 (LV)51%45%4%
Survey Monkey (D)[E]September 9–10, 2022999 (RV)± 3.0%49%43%8%
563 (LV)± 3.0%50%47%3%
Echelon InsightsAugust 31 – September 7, 2022815 (LV)± 4.3%52%42%7%
InsiderAdvantage (R)September 5–6, 2022550 (LV)± 4.2%50%45%5%
Susquehanna Polling and Research (R)August 29 – September 4, 2022500 (LV)± 4.3%47%43%10%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)August 24–31, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%50%47%3%
Clarity Campaign Labs (D)[F]August 25–30, 20223,017 (LV)± 1.8%48%45%7%
Impact Research (D)[G]August 12–18, 2022800 (LV)± 3.5%51%46%3%
Cherry Communications (R)August 4–15, 2022608 (LV)± 4.0%51%43%6%
University of North FloridaAugust 8–12, 20221,624 (RV)± 3.4%50%42%6%2%
Clarity Campaign Labs (D)[F]July 26–31, 20222,244 (LV)± 2.1%47%44%9%
The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R)May 27 – June 4, 2022714 (LV)± 3.7%49%51%
Fabrizio Lee & Associates (R)[H]Mid-May 20221,200 (RV)± 2.8%47%48%5%
Phillips AcademyMay 7–9, 2022543 (RV)± 4.2%36%35%30%
Saint Leo UniversityFebruary 28 – March 12, 2022500 (LV)± 4.5%49%33%18%
The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R)February 23, 20221,064 (LV)± 3.0%44%56%
University of North FloridaFebruary 7–20, 2022685 (RV)± 3.7%55%34%11%
Mason-DixonFebruary 7–10, 2022625 (RV)± 4.0%51%43%6%
Suffolk UniversityJanuary 26–29, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%49%43%0%8%
St. Pete PollsNovember 18–19, 20212,896 (LV)± 1.8%51%45%5%
Redfield & Wilton StrategiesNovember 9, 2021867 (RV)± 3.3%44%37%5%9%
842 (LV)± 3.4%46%40%4%7%
Saint Leo UniversityOctober 17–23, 2021500 (A)± 4.5%47%35%18%
VCreek/AMG (R)[I]September 23–27, 2021405 (LV)± 4.9%47%39%2%12%
The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R)September 11–12, 20211,144 (LV)± 3.1%45%55%
The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R)September 3–5, 20211,144 (LV)± 3.1%45%55%
RMG ResearchAugust 21–28, 20211,000 (RV)± 3.1%45%38%17%
Redfield & Wilton StrategiesAugust 20–24, 20211,000 (RV)± 3.1%45%36%5%9%
977 (LV)48%38%5%8%
The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R)August 14–18, 20211,000 (LV)± 3.1%43%57%
Change Research (D)[J]August 14–17, 20211,585 (LV)± 2.5%49%45%6%
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)August 4–10, 2021700 (RV)± 3.7%46%43%3%7%
Cherry Communications (R)July 26 – August 4, 2021610 (LV)± 4.0%51%43%6%
St. Pete PollsAugust 2–3, 20213,952 (LV)± 1.6%44%45%11%
The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R)June 21, 2021716 (LV)± 3.7%55%45%
Cherry Communications (R)April 30 – May 8, 2021602 (LV)± 4.0%51%41%8%
Victory Insights (R)May 4, 2021600 (RV)± 4.1%53%47%
Mason-DixonFebruary 24–28, 2021625 (RV)± 4.0%52%41%7%
Hypothetical polling
Ron DeSantis vs. Nikki Fried
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Ron
DeSantis (R)
Nikki
Fried (D)
OtherUndecided
Cherry Communications (R)August 4–15, 2022608 (LV)± 4.0%50%43%7%
University of North FloridaAugust 8–12, 20221,624 (RV)± 3.4%50%43%5%2%
Clarity Campaign Labs (D)[F]July 26–31, 20222,244 (LV)± 2.1%49%43%8%
Saint Leo UniversityFebruary 28 – March 12, 2022500 (LV)± 4.5%51%27%22%
The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R)February 23, 20221,064 (LV)± 3.0%50%50%
University of North FloridaFebruary 7–20, 2022685 (RV)± 3.7%55%32%12%
Mason-DixonFebruary 7–10, 2022625 (RV)± 4.0%53%42%5%
Suffolk UniversityJanuary 26–29, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%51%40%0%9%
St. Pete PollsNovember 18–19, 20212,896 (LV)± 1.8%51%42%6%
Redfield & Wilton StrategiesNovember 9, 2021867 (RV)± 3.3%46%35%4%8%
842 (LV)± 3.4%50%37%4%7%
Saint Leo UniversityOctober 17–23, 2021500 (A)± 4.5%46%33%21%
VCreek/AMG (R)[I]September 23–27, 2021405 (LV)± 4.9%48%36%5%11%
The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R)September 3–5, 20211,144 (LV)± 3.1%52%48%
RMG ResearchAugust 21–28, 20211,000 (RV)± 3.1%41%38%21%
Redfield & Wilton StrategiesAugust 20–24, 20211,000 (RV)± 3.1%45%36%4%11%
977 (LV)48%38%3%10%
The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R)August 14–18, 20211,000 (LV)± 3.1%46%54%
Change Research (D)[J]August 14–17, 20211,585 (LV)± 2.5%49%44%7%
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)August 4–10, 2021700 (RV)± 3.7%50%40%2%7%
Cherry Communications (R)July 26 – August 4, 2021610 (LV)± 4.0%51%42%7%
St. Pete PollsAugust 2–3, 20213,952 (LV)± 1.6%45%42%13%
The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R)June 21, 2021716 (LV)± 3.7%61%39%
Cherry Communications (R)April 30 – May 8, 2021602 (LV)± 4.0%51%39%10%
Victory Insights (R)May 4, 2021600 (RV)± 4.1%53%47%
St. Pete PollsMarch 22–24, 20211,923 (LV)± 2.2%45%45%10%
Mason-DixonFebruary 24–28, 2021625 (RV)± 4.0%51%42%7%
Ron DeSantis vs. Annette Taddeo
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Ron
DeSantis (R)
Annette
Taddeo (D)
Undecided
Saint Leo UniversityFebruary 28 – March 12, 2022500 (LV)± 4.5%49%30%22%
Mason-DixonFebruary 7–10, 2022625 (RV)± 4.0%53%37%10%
Saint Leo UniversityOctober 17–23, 2021500 (A)± 4.5%47%28%25%
Ron DeSantis vs. generic Democrat
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Ron
DeSantis (R)
Generic
Democrat
Undecided
Clarity Campaign Labs (D)[F]July 26–31, 20222,244 (LV)± 2.1%48%43%9%
Data for Progress (D)[K]September 15–22, 2020620 (LV)± 3.9%42%44%14%
Ron DeSantis vs. Val Demings
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Ron
DeSantis (R)
Val
Demings (D)
Undecided
Cherry Communications (R)April 30 – May 8, 2021602 (LV)± 4.0%53%38%
Victory Insights (R)May 4, 2021600 (RV)± 4.1%54%46%

Results

2022 Florida gubernatorial election
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
RepublicanRon DeSantis (incumbent)
Jeanette Nuñez (incumbent)
DemocraticCharlie Crist
Karla Hernández-Mats
LibertarianHector Roos
Jerry “Tub” Rorabaugh
N/A
IndependentCarmen Jackie Gimenez
Kyle “KC” Gibson
N/A
Write-inN/A
Total votes 100.00% N/A

Notes

  1. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. ^ a b c d e f Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. ^ Daniel with 4%; Willis with 1%
  4. ^ Freeman with 4%; “Someone Else” with 3%; Lionheart with 1%
  5. ^ 17% for Val Demings
  6. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  7. ^ Roos (L) with 1%; Gimenez (I) with 3%; “Refused” with 1%
Partisan clients
  1. ^ a b c d This poll was sponsored by Crist’s campaign
  2. ^ a b c d This poll was sponsored by Fried’s campaign
  3. ^ This poll was sponsored by Floridians For Economic Advancement
  4. ^ Poll sponsored by Taddeo’s campaign committee
  5. ^ This poll was sponsored by Center Street PAC, which opposes DeSantis
  6. ^ a b c d This poll was sponsored by Progress Florida and Florida Watch
  7. ^ This poll was sponsored by the Democratic Governors Association
  8. ^ This poll was conducted for an undisclosed Republican client
  9. ^ a b This poll was sponsored by Americas PAC
  10. ^ a b This poll was sponsored by Future Majority
  11. ^ This poll was sponsored by the Defend Students Action Fund

References

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External links

Official campaign websites