2022 FL Governor Race

2022 FL Governor Race

Summary

Governor Ron DeSantis was elected in 2018 with 49.6% of the vote and is running for reelection to a second term.[100] Andrew Gillum, former mayor of Tallahassee and Democratic nominee for governor in 2018, will not run against DeSantis again.

Seeking the Democratic nomination are U.S. Representative Charlie Crist, (a former Republican governor of Florida). Florida Agriculture Commissioner Nikki Fried, and Florida State Senator Annette Taddeo, Crist’s running mate in the 2014 Florida gubernatorial election.

OnAir Post: 2022 FL Governor Race

Ron Desantis

Ron DeSantis

Current Position: Governor since 2019
Affiliation: Republican
Candidate: 2022 Governor
Former Position: US Representative from 2013 – 2018

Featured Quote: 
Forcing kids to wear masks is bad policy. Parents are best equipped to decide whether they want their kids to wear a mask in school. Neither bureaucrats in Washington nor local authorities should be able to override the decision of the parents.

Charlie Crist

Charlie Crist

Current Position: US Representative for FL District 13 since 2017
Affiliation: Democrat
Candidate: 2022 Governor

OnAir Post: Charlie Crist – FL13

Wikipedia

For related races, see 2022 United States gubernatorial elections.

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Government

The 2022 Florida gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Florida, alongside other state and local elections. Incumbent Republican governor Ron DeSantis won re-election in landslide,[1] with 59.4 percent of the vote to Crist's 40 percent; it was the largest margin of victory in a Florida gubernatorial election since 1982.[2] Significantly, DeSantis won Miami-Dade County, which had been considered a Democratic stronghold and had last voted Republican in 2002, and Palm Beach County, which had not voted Republican since 1986.[3][4] Crist conceded the election shortly after DeSantis was projected as the winner.[5] At DeSantis's victory rally, supporters chanted "two more years" at various times rather than the common "four more years" to show support for DeSantis for president in 2024.[6] and defeated the Democratic Party nominee, Charlie Crist, who served as governor of Florida from 2007 to 2011 as a Republican and later as an independent. No Democrat has been elected governor of Florida since 1994.[7][8][9]

According to exit polls, DeSantis won 65% of White voters, 13% of Black voters, and 58% of Latinos; of the latter group, DeSantis won 69% of Cubans and 56% of Puerto Ricans.[10] DeSantis's large margin of victory was in part due to him flipping Democratic stronghold Miami-Dade County for the first time since 2002, and Palm Beach County for the first time since 1986, as well as winning Hillsborough, Osceola, Pinellas, and St. Lucie counties for the first time since 2006. This was also the first gubernatorial election since 2006 in which a candidate received over 50% of the vote. His 19.4% margin of victory was the largest since 1982 and the largest for a Republican in state history, compared to 0.4% four years earlier. It was also the first time the governorship was won by double digits since 2002, and the first time it was won by over a million votes.[11][12]

Significantly, Crist's 39.9% performance was the worst for a Democratic nominee for governor of Florida since 1916. Republicans won all other statewide races by double digits; this is the first time since the end of Reconstruction that Democrats do not hold at least one of the statewide positions. DeSantis also made large gains among Hispanic voters, becoming the first Republican in decades to win a majority of those voters.[10][13] He also had a major fundraising advantage over Crist, setting an all-time record for a gubernatorial candidate.[14]

The election was described as marking the transition from Florida being a swing state into a solid red state.[15][16]

Qualifying for the ballot

To qualify for the ballot in Florida, partisan candidates must first file with the Division of Elections of the Florida Department of State. After filing, a candidate must then qualify for the ballot by a deadline by either paying qualifying fees totaling 6% of the salary of the position sought, or obtaining sufficiently many signatures. Not all candidates who filed to run for governor subsequently qualified to appear on the ballot.[17]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Failed to qualify

Declined

Endorsements

Ron DeSantis

U.S. senators

Organizations

Democratic primary

Florida Agriculture Commissioner Nikki Fried finished second in the primary.

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Failed to qualify

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

Charlie Crist

U.S. representatives

State officials

State legislators

Local officials

Organizations

Labor unions

Newspapers

Individuals

Nikki Fried

State legislators

Individuals

Organizations

Annette Taddeo (withdrawn)

U.S. representatives

State legislators

Local officials

Organizations

Individuals

Polling

Graphical summary

Source of poll
aggregation		Dates
administered		Dates
updated		Charlie
Crist		Nikki
Fried		Other
[a]		Margin
Real Clear Politics[126]February 7 – June 17, 2022June 20, 202240.0%23.3%36.7%Crist +16.7
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[b]		Margin
of error		Charlie
Crist		Nikki
Fried		Annette
Taddeo		OtherUndecided
St. Pete Polls[127]August 20–21, 20221,617 (LV)± 2.4%59%30%––11%
Change Research (D)[128][A]August 12–14, 2022702 (LV)± 4.2%47%37%––16%
University of North Florida[129]August 8–12, 2022529 (LV)± 6.0%43%47%–5%[c]6%
Public Policy Polling (D)[130][B]August 8–9, 2022664 (LV)± 3.8%42%35%––23%
St. Pete Polls[131]August 2–3, 20221,361 (LV)± 2.7%56%24%––20%
GBAO (D)[132][A]July 27–31, 2022800 (LV)± 3.5%52%36%––12%
Kaplan Strategies[133]July 6, 2022671 (LV)± 3.8%39%39%––22%
GBAO (D)[134][A]June 23–26, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%55%34%––11%
St. Pete Polls[135]June 16–17, 20221,007 (LV)± 3.1%49%24%––27%
Global Strategy Group (D)[136][B]June 8–13, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%38%34%––29%
June 6, 2022Taddeo withdraws from the race
St. Pete Polls[137]May 2–3, 20221,859 (LV)± 2.3%52%19%5%–24%
Sachs Media Group[138]April 8–10, 2022700 (RV)± 3.7%35%20%4%–41%
University of North Florida[139]February 7–20, 2022271 (RV)± 6.0%27%19%4%8%[d]44%
Mason-Dixon[140]February 7–10, 2022400 (LV)± 5.0%44%27%3%–26%
Alvarado Strategies (R)[141][C]February 20221,007 (LV)± 3.1%36%25%6%10%23%
GBAO (D)[142][A]January 26–31, 2022800 (LV)± 3.5%54%28%7%–11%
56%33%––11%
Public Policy Polling (D)[143][B]January 26–27, 2022582 (LV)± 4.1%36%34%––29%
Public Policy Polling (D)[144][B]August 10–11, 2021274 (LV)± 5.9%33%36%––31%
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)[145]August 4–10, 2021245 (RV)± 6.3%38%27%–5%30%
Political Matrix (R)[146]June 9–11, 2021660 (LV)± 4.5%41%31%––29%
St. Pete Polls[147]May 24–26, 20212,752 (RV)± 1.9%55%22%–11%12%
Victory Insights (R)[148]May 4, 2021232 (RV)± 7.0%53%30%–17%[e]–
SEA Polling (D)[149][D]April 15–20, 2021600 (LV)± 4.0%28%26%13%–34%

Results

Results by county:
  Crist
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  Fried
  •   40–50%
Democratic primary results[150]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticCharlie Crist 904,524 59.71%
DemocraticNicole "Nikki" Fried535,48035.35%
DemocraticCadance Daniel38,1982.52%
DemocraticRobert L. Willis36,7862.43%
Total votes1,513,180 100.0%

Running mate selection

In June 2022, Politico released a shortlist of 18 people who Crist was considering as his running mate.[151] On August 26, four days after Crist won the gubernatorial primary, CBS News reported that he had selected Karla Hernández-Mats, one of the people on the Politico shortlist.[152]

Selected

  • Karla Hernández-Mats, president of the United Teachers of Dade[151][153]

On shortlist

Independent and third-party candidates

Green Party

Withdrawn

Independent Party

Withdrawn

  • Gizmo Wexler, IT administrator[156]

Libertarian Party

Declared

Declined

Independent candidates

Declared

  • Carmen Jackie Gimenez[160]

Failed to qualify

  • Eugene H. Steele, attorney[161]

Withdrawn

  • Mark B. Graham, computer technician and candidate for president in 2016[162]
  • Frank Hughes Jr., education consultant[163]
  • Jodi Gregory Jeloudov[164]

Declined

Write-ins

Declared

  • Piotr Blass, perennial candidate[167]
  • James Thompson, pastor

General election

Debates and forums

2022 Florida gubernatorial debate
No.DateHostModeratorLinkParticipants
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee   W  Withdrawn
Ron DeSantisCharlie Crist
1October 24, 2022WPEC-TVLiz QuirantesYouTube[168]PP

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[169]Likely RJuly 22, 2022
Inside Elections[170]Likely RJuly 22, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[171]Safe ROctober 31, 2022
Politico[172]Likely RApril 1, 2022
RCP[173]Lean RJanuary 10, 2022
Fox News[174]Likely RMay 12, 2022
538[175]Solid ROctober 18, 2022
Elections Daily[176]Safe RNovember 7, 2022

Endorsements

Ron DeSantis (R)

Former U.S. Executive Branch officials

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

State officials

State legislators

Local officials

  • Dave Kerner, member of the Palm Beach County Commission from the 3rd District (2016–present); former state representative from the 87th district (2012–2016)[183] (Democrat)

Individuals

Organizations

Charlie Crist (D)

U.S. Executive Branch officials

U.S. representatives

State officials

State legislators

  • Crist kept his legislative endorsements going into the general election.

Local officials

Individuals

Organizations

Labor unions

Newspapers

Individuals

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation		Dates
administered		Dates
updated		Ron
DeSantis (R)		Charlie
Crist (D)		Other
[f]		Margin
Real Clear Politics[197]October 17 – November 6, 2022November 8, 202254.4%42.2%3.4%DeSantis +12.2
FiveThirtyEight[198]October 30, 2022 – November 7, 2022November 8, 202254.5%42.4%3.0%DeSantis +12.1
270 to win[199]November 4–7, 2022November 8, 202254.0%41.8%4.2%DeSantis +12.2
Average54.3%42.1%3.6%DeSantis +12.2
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[b]		Margin
of error		Ron
DeSantis (R)		Charlie
Crist (D)		OtherUndecided
The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R)[200]November 6–7, 2022722 (LV)± 3.8%52%48%––
Research Co.[201]November 4–6, 2022450 (LV)± 4.6%54%41%2%[g]3%
Data for Progress (D)[202]November 2–6, 20221,436 (LV)± 3.0%57%42%2%[h]–
Amber Integrated (R)[203]November 1–2, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%53%40%4%[i]4%
Civiqs[204]October 29 – November 2, 2022772 (LV)± 3.9%54%45%1%[j]1%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[205][E]November 1, 2022550 (LV)± 4.2%53%43%1%[k]3%
Siena College[206]October 30 – November 1, 2022659 (LV)± 4.4%54%42%–3%
Victory Insights[207]October 30 – November 1, 2022500 (LV)± 4.8%54%41%–5%
Florida State University/YouGov[208]October 20–31, 20221,117 (RV)–53%43%––
The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R)[209]October 27–28, 2022633 (LV)± 3.3%47%53%––
University of North Florida[210]October 17–24, 2022622 (LV)± 4.7%55%41%2%[l]3%
Data for Progress (D)[211]October 19–23, 20221,251 (LV)± 3.0%54%42%1%[m]2%
Cherry Communications (R)[212][F]October 13–23, 2022601 (LV)± 4.0%53%42%–5%
Stetson University[213]October 16–20, 2022644 (LV)± 4.0%53%45%–2%
Florida Atlantic University[214]October 12–16, 2022719 (LV)± 3.7%51%40%4%[n]5%
YouGov[215][G]October 11–16, 2022832 (LV)± 3.0%53%43%4%–
Sachs Media[216]October 15, 2022600 (LV)–52%42%–6%
RMG Research (R)[217][H]October 10–13, 2022685 (LV)± 3.7%52%42%–6%
African American Research Collaborative (D)[218][I]October 4–11, 20221,250 (RV)± 2.8%46%41%–13%
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy[219]September 26–28, 2022800 (LV)± 3.5%52%41%1%6%
Clarity Campaign Labs (D)[220][J]September 22–27, 20222,860 (LV)± 1.8%47%46%–7%
The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R)[221]September 21, 2022700 (LV)± 3.3%47%53%––
Siena College[222]September 18–25, 2022669 (LV)± 4.5%49%41%2%[o]7%
Civiqs[223]September 17–20, 2022617 (LV)± 4.5%52%45%1%[p]2%
Suffolk University[224]September 15–18, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%48%41%5%[q]7%
Sachs Media[225]September 10, 2022600 (LV)–51%45%–4%
Survey Monkey (D)[226][K]September 9–10, 2022999 (RV)± 3.0%49%43%–8%
563 (LV)± 3.0%50%47%–3%
Echelon Insights[227]August 31 – September 7, 2022815 (LV)± 4.3%52%42%–7%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[228][E]September 5–6, 2022550 (LV)± 4.2%50%45%–5%
Susquehanna Polling and Research (R)[229]August 29 – September 4, 2022500 (LV)± 4.3%47%43%–10%
Neighborhood Research and Media[230]August 29 – September 2, 2022362 (LV)± 4.3%50%41%–9%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[231]August 24–31, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%50%47%–3%
Clarity Campaign Labs (D)[232][J]August 25–30, 20223,017 (LV)± 1.8%48%45%–7%
Impact Research (D)[233][L]August 12–18, 2022800 (LV)± 3.5%51%46%–3%
Cherry Communications (R)[234][F]August 4–15, 2022608 (LV)± 4.0%51%43%–6%
University of North Florida[235]August 8–12, 20221,624 (RV)± 3.4%50%42%6%2%
Clarity Campaign Labs (D)[236][J]July 26–31, 20222,244 (LV)± 2.1%47%44%–9%
The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R)[237]May 27 – June 4, 2022714 (LV)± 3.7%49%51%––
Fabrizio Lee & Associates (R)[238][M]Mid-May 20221,200 (RV)± 2.8%47%48%–5%
Phillips Academy[239]May 7–9, 2022543 (RV)± 4.2%36%35%–30%
Saint Leo University[240]February 28 – March 12, 2022500 (LV)± 4.5%49%33%–18%
The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R)[241]February 23, 20221,064 (LV)± 3.0%44%56%––
University of North Florida[242]February 7–20, 2022685 (RV)± 3.7%55%34%–11%
Mason-Dixon[140]February 7–10, 2022625 (RV)± 4.0%51%43%–6%
Suffolk University[243]January 26–29, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%49%43%0%8%
St. Pete Polls[244]November 18–19, 20212,896 (LV)± 1.8%51%45%–5%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[245]November 9, 2021867 (RV)± 3.3%44%37%5%9%
842 (LV)± 3.4%46%40%4%7%
Saint Leo University[246]October 17–23, 2021500 (A)± 4.5%47%35%–18%
VCreek/AMG (R)[247][N]September 23–27, 2021405 (LV)± 4.9%47%39%2%12%
The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R)[248]September 11–12, 20211,144 (LV)± 3.1%45%55%––
The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R)[249]September 3–5, 20211,144 (LV)± 3.1%45%55%––
RMG Research[250]August 21–28, 20211,000 (RV)± 3.1%45%38%–17%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[251]August 20–24, 20211,000 (RV)± 3.1%45%36%5%9%
977 (LV)48%38%5%8%
The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R)[252]August 14–18, 20211,000 (LV)± 3.1%43%57%––
Change Research (D)[253][O]August 14–17, 20211,585 (LV)± 2.5%49%45%–6%
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)[145]August 4–10, 2021700 (RV)± 3.7%46%43%3%7%
Cherry Communications (R)[254][F]July 26 – August 4, 2021610 (LV)± 4.0%51%43%–6%
St. Pete Polls[255]August 2–3, 20213,952 (LV)± 1.6%44%45%–11%
The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R)[256]June 21, 2021716 (LV)± 3.7%55%45%––
Cherry Communications (R)[257][F]April 30 – May 8, 2021602 (LV)± 4.0%51%41%–8%
Victory Insights (R)[148]May 4, 2021600 (RV)± 4.1%53%47%––
Mason-Dixon[258]February 24–28, 2021625 (RV)± 4.0%52%41%–7%
Hypothetical polling

Ron DeSantis vs. Nikki Fried

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[b]		Margin
of error		Ron
DeSantis (R)		Nikki
Fried (D)		OtherUndecided
Cherry Communications (R)[234][F]August 4–15, 2022608 (LV)± 4.0%50%43%–7%
University of North Florida[259]August 8–12, 20221,624 (RV)± 3.4%50%43%5%2%
Clarity Campaign Labs (D)[236][J]July 26–31, 20222,244 (LV)± 2.1%49%43%–8%
Saint Leo University[260]February 28 – March 12, 2022500 (LV)± 4.5%51%27%–22%
The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R)[241]February 23, 20221,064 (LV)± 3.0%50%50%––
University of North Florida[261]February 7–20, 2022685 (RV)± 3.7%55%32%–12%
Mason-Dixon[140]February 7–10, 2022625 (RV)± 4.0%53%42%–5%
Suffolk University[243]January 26–29, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%51%40%0%9%
St. Pete Polls[244]November 18–19, 20212,896 (LV)± 1.8%51%42%–6%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[245]November 9, 2021867 (RV)± 3.3%46%35%4%8%
842 (LV)± 3.4%50%37%4%7%
Saint Leo University[246]October 17–23, 2021500 (A)± 4.5%46%33%–21%
VCreek/AMG (R)[247][N]September 23–27, 2021405 (LV)± 4.9%48%36%5%11%
The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R)[249]September 3–5, 20211,144 (LV)± 3.1%52%48%––
RMG Research[250]August 21–28, 20211,000 (RV)± 3.1%41%38%–21%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[251]August 20–24, 20211,000 (RV)± 3.1%45%36%4%11%
977 (LV)48%38%3%10%
The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R)[252]August 14–18, 20211,000 (LV)± 3.1%46%54%––
Change Research (D)[253][O]August 14–17, 20211,585 (LV)± 2.5%49%44%–7%
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)[145]August 4–10, 2021700 (RV)± 3.7%50%40%2%7%
Cherry Communications (R)[254][F]July 26 – August 4, 2021610 (LV)± 4.0%51%42%–7%
St. Pete Polls[255]August 2–3, 20213,952 (LV)± 1.6%45%42%–13%
The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R)[256]June 21, 2021716 (LV)± 3.7%61%39%––
Cherry Communications (R)[257][F]April 30 – May 8, 2021602 (LV)± 4.0%51%39%–10%
Victory Insights (R)[148]May 4, 2021600 (RV)± 4.1%53%47%––
St. Pete Polls[262]March 22–24, 20211,923 (LV)± 2.2%45%45%–10%
Mason-Dixon[258]February 24–28, 2021625 (RV)± 4.0%51%42%–7%

Ron DeSantis vs. Annette Taddeo

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[b]		Margin
of error		Ron
DeSantis (R)		Annette
Taddeo (D)		Undecided
Saint Leo University[263]February 28 – March 12, 2022500 (LV)± 4.5%49%30%22%
Mason-Dixon[140]February 7–10, 2022625 (RV)± 4.0%53%37%10%
Saint Leo University[246]October 17–23, 2021500 (A)± 4.5%47%28%25%

Ron DeSantis vs. generic Democrat

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[b]		Margin
of error		Ron
DeSantis (R)		Generic
Democrat		Undecided
Clarity Campaign Labs (D)[264][J]July 26–31, 20222,244 (LV)± 2.1%48%43%9%
Data for Progress (D)[265][P]September 15–22, 2020620 (LV)± 3.9%42%44%14%

Ron DeSantis vs. Val Demings

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[b]		Margin
of error		Ron
DeSantis (R)		Val
Demings (D)		Undecided
Cherry Communications (R)[257][F]April 30 – May 8, 2021602 (LV)± 4.0%53%38%–
Victory Insights (R)[148]May 4, 2021600 (RV)± 4.1%54%46%–

Results

2022 Florida gubernatorial election[266][267]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
RepublicanRon DeSantis (incumbent)
Jeanette Nuñez (incumbent) 		4,614,210 59.37% +9.78%
DemocraticCharlie Crist
Karla Hernandez		3,106,31339.97%−9.22%
IndependentCarmen Jackie Gimenez
Kyle "KC" Gibson		31,5770.41%N/A
LibertarianHector Roos
Jerry "Tub" Rorabaugh		19,2990.25%N/A
Total votes7,771,399 100.0% N/A
Turnout7,796,91653.76%
Registered electors14,503,978
Republican hold

By county

By county
CountyRon DeSantis
Republican		Charlie Crist
Democratic		Other votesTotal
votes
%#%#%#
Alachua42.04%40,32157.14%54,7960.82%78495,901
Baker89.45%9,59410.18%1,0920.37%4110,725
Bay78.38%52,59021.00%14,0910.61%41267,093
Bradford81.29%8,34618.04%1,8520.67%6910,267
Brevard63.77%170,56235.57%95,1310.66%1,760267,453
Broward41.97%251,23857.35%343,2860.68%4,083598,607
Calhoun86.04%4,18013.52%6570.43%214,858
Charlotte70.52%65,47329.11%27,0310.37%34492,848
Citrus74.23%56,28325.19%19,1000.58%44375,826
Clay74.67%67,29224.62%22,1870.71%64090,119
Collier71.74%117,47727.98%45,8150.29%467163,759
Columbia79.19%18,79020.18%4,7890.62%14823,727
DeSoto76.28%6,63723.25%2,0230.47%418,701
Dixie87.30%5,39411.90%7350.81%506,179
Duval55.44%182,56943.68%143,8370.88%2,913329,319
Escambia64.46%74,60834.63%40,0760.91%1,053115,737
Flagler66.76%39,18332.67%19,1770.57%33658,696
Franklin73.56%4,00325.84%1,4060.61%335,442
Gadsden37.36%6,51162.01%10,8050.63%11017,426
Gilchrist86.50%6,80612.93%1,0170.57%457,868
Glades80.73%3,09118.83%7210.44%173,829
Gulf80.16%5,15019.41%1,2470.44%286,425
Hamilton73.26%3,14526.09%1,1200.65%284,293
Hardee82.33%4,55817.14%9490.52%295,536
Hendry74.25%6,13424.84%2,0520.91%758,261
Hernando69.95%56,22829.47%23,6890.58%46880,385
Highlands74.12%29,51825.09%9,9940.79%31339,825
Hillsborough54.17%261,93644.95%217,3490.87%4,229483,514
Holmes91.62%6,2147.86%5330.52%356,782
Indian River67.53%52,26931.97%24,7440.50%38777,400
Jackson76.03%12,41223.49%3,8350.48%7916,326
Jefferson60.47%4,31038.95%2,7760.58%417,127
Lafayette89.68%2,61710.08%2940.24%72,918
Lake66.54%106,57832.83%52,5790.63%1,003160,160
Lee68.79%189,33530.79%84,7390.42%1,165275,239
Leon41.82%49,24457.35%67,5350.83%972117,751
Levy78.42%14,04920.98%3,7580.60%10717,914
Liberty85.36%2,34514.18%3710.46%122,617
Madison66.77%4,66132.85%2,2930.39%276,981
Manatee64.70%111,10934.82%59,8010.48%820171,730
Marion69.23%108,02730.20%47,1290.57%894156,050
Martin69.01%53,59530.58%23,7480.42%32477,667
Miami-Dade55.28%393,53243.97%312,9720.75%5,347711,851
Monroe60.23%20,47939.15%13,3140.62%21134,004
Nassau76.52%36,55122.97%10,9730.50%24047,764
Okaloosa76.18%61,71522.92%18,5690.89%72481,008
Okeechobee80.34%8,74619.10%2,0790.56%6110,886
Orange46.08%187,65353.10%216,2210.82%3,356407,230
Osceola52.84%54,33046.09%47,3871.08%1,108102,825
Palm Beach51.21%278,45448.30%262,6550.49%2,679543,788
Pasco65.82%148,08333.49%75,3420.69%1,555224,980
Pinellas54.61%231,28444.76%189,5630.63%2,647423,494
Polk64.45%148,25434.85%80,1720.69%1,591230,017
Putnam76.02%20,21723.30%6,1960.68%18026,593
Santa Rosa79.38%60,09119.94%15,0960.68%51175,698
Sarasota60.92%133,35438.65%84,6140.42%929218,897
Seminole55.78%102,19143.48%79,6640.73%1,346183,201
St. Johns69.87%101,06629.64%42,8730.49%715144,654
St. Lucie59.31%72,35440.17%49,0090.52%630121,993
Sumter73.21%65,49626.51%23,7180.28%25089,464
Suwannee83.39%13,64916.19%2,6500.42%6816,367
Taylor82.76%6,30816.74%1,2760.50%387,622
Union87.65%3,99511.94%5440.42%194,558
Volusia63.99%144,76835.34%79,9650.67%1,513226,246
Wakulla73.25%11,03326.02%3,9200.73%11015,063
Walton82.08%28,64717.51%6,1120.41%14234,901
Washington85.32%7,78614.08%1,2850.60%559,126

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

DeSantis won 22 of 28 congressional districts, including two that elected Democrats.[268]

DistrictDeSantisCristRepresentative
1st73%26%Matt Gaetz
2nd61%38%Neal Dunn
3rd64%35%Kat Cammack
4th60%39%Aaron Bean
5th65%34%John Rutherford
6th68%31%Michael Waltz
7th60%39%Stephanie Murphy (117th Congress)
Cory Mills (118th Congress)
8th65%35%Bill Posey
9th50%49%Darren Soto
10th41%58%Val Demings (117th Congress)
Maxwell Frost (118th Congress)
11th63%37%Daniel Webster
12th69%30%Gus Bilirakis
13th58%41%Anna Paulina Luna
14th47%52%Kathy Castor
15th59%40%Laurel Lee
16th61%38%Vern Buchanan
17th64%35%Greg Steube
18th69%30%Scott Franklin
19th69%30%Byron Donalds
20th30%69%Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick
21st62%37%Brian Mast
22nd48%51%Lois Frankel
23rd50%49%Jared Moskowitz
24th31%68%Frederica Wilson
25th47%52%Debbie Wasserman Schultz
26th70%29%Mario Díaz-Balart
27th58%41%María Elvira Salazar
28th64%36%Carlos A. Giménez

Voter demographics

Edison Research exit poll
Demographic subgroupCristDeSantis% of
voters
Gender
Men356449
Women465351
Age
18–24 years old54447
25–29 years old56414
30–39 years old524713
40–49 years old386012
50–64 years old366332
65 and older366432
Race
White346564
Black861311
Latino405821
Race by gender
White men277232
White women405832
Black men81195
Black women9196
Latino men415710
Latina women396011
Education
High school or less336715
Some college education415825
Associate degree405919
Bachelor's degree435624
Advanced degree445517
Party ID
Democrats95528
Republicans29742
Independents455330
Ideology
Liberals901020
Moderates534539
Conservatives69442
Marital status
Married386259
Unmarried505041
Gender by marital status
Married men326830
Married women445529
Unmarried men495118
Unmarried women504923
First-time midterm election voter
Yes415911
No435789
Most important issue facing the country
Crime356310
Inflation267439
Gun policy623610
Immigration128810
Abortion801924
Area type
Urban435646
Suburban405844
Rural307010
Source: CNN[269]

Analysis

According to exit polls, DeSantis won 65% of White voters, 13% of Black voters, and 58% of Latinos; of the latter group, DeSantis won 69% of Cubans and 56% of Puerto Ricans.[270] DeSantis' large margin of victory was in part due to him flipping Democratic stronghold Miami-Dade County for the first time since 2002, and Palm Beach County for the first time since 1986, as well as winning Hillsborough, Osceola, Pinellas, and St. Lucie counties for the first time since 2006; this was also the first gubernatorial election since 2006 in which a candidate received over 50% of the vote. His near 20% margin of victory was the largest since 1982 and the largest for a Republican in state history. It was also the first time the governorship was won by double digits since 2002, and the first time it was won by over one million votes.

Significantly, Crist's 40% performance was the worst for a Democratic nominee for governor of Florida since 1916. Republicans won the other statewide races by double digits; this is the first time since the end of Reconstruction that Democrats do not hold at least one of the statewide positions. DeSantis also made large gains among Hispanic voters, becoming the first Republican in decades to win a majority of those voters.[270][271] He also had a major fundraising advantage over Crist, setting an all-time record for a gubernatorial candidate.[272]

See also

Notes

  1. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. ^ a b c d e f Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. ^ Daniel with 4%; Willis with 1%
  4. ^ Freeman with 4%; "Someone Else" with 3%; Lionheart with 1%
  5. ^ 17% for Val Demings
  6. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  7. ^ "Some other candidate" with 2%
  8. ^ Gimenez (I) with 1%; Roos (L) with 1%
  9. ^ Roos (L) with 3%; "Other" with 1%
  10. ^ "Someone else" with 1%
  11. ^ "Another candidate" with 1%
  12. ^ "Someone else" with 1%; "Refused" with 1%
  13. ^ Gimenez (I) with 1%; Roos (L) with <1%
  14. ^ "Someone else" with 4%
  15. ^ "Another candidate" with 1%; "Not going to vote" with 1%
  16. ^ "Someone else" with 1%
  17. ^ Roos (L) with 1%; Gimenez (I) with 3%; "Refused" with 1%

Partisan clients

  1. ^ a b c d This poll was sponsored by Crist's campaign
  2. ^ a b c d This poll was sponsored by Fried's campaign
  3. ^ This poll was sponsored by Floridians For Economic Advancement
  4. ^ Poll sponsored by Taddeo's campaign committee
  5. ^ a b Poll sponsored by WOFL-TV
  6. ^ a b c d e f g h Poll sponsored by Florida Chamber of Commerce
  7. ^ Poll conducted for the Rose Institute of State and Local Government
  8. ^ Poll conducted for Tripp Scott, a law firm associated with the Florida Republican Party.
  9. ^ Poll conducted for Local Progress Impact Lab
  10. ^ a b c d e This poll was sponsored by Progress Florida and Florida Watch
  11. ^ This poll was sponsored by Center Street PAC, which opposes DeSantis
  12. ^ This poll was sponsored by the Democratic Governors Association
  13. ^ This poll was conducted for an undisclosed Republican client
  14. ^ a b This poll was sponsored by Americas PAC
  15. ^ a b This poll was sponsored by Future Majority
  16. ^ This poll was sponsored by the Defend Students Action Fund

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Official campaign websites

source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Florida_gubernatorial_election

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